Monday, March 10, 2008

When all else fails, UNITE!

After victories in 3 primaries last Tuesday, Sen. Clinton was ready to call the contest for herself.

Not so fast Hillary.

According to a new Gallup poll, her wins in the Texas and Ohio primaries have not transcended themselves towards any noticeable momentum shift.

According to a just-recently completed Gallup poll, Sen. Obama holds what could best be described as a statistical dead-heat 2-point lead over Sen. Clinton – 47% - 45% respectively.

But that’s not the big news, the bigger news is, as Gallup implies, Clinton gained on Obama in the days leading up to the March 4 primaries/caucus, but her successful showing -- winning three of the four elections held that day -- failed to boost her candidacy nationally. So in other words, Ms. Clinton won… but her victories did not have the huge swell of support that her campaign had been expecting, nay needing.

Despite Obama’s victory in Saturday's Wyoming caucus (he won 61% of the vote and more than half of the delegates) neither of the two candidates has broken through the 50% plus range since mid-February, which is a pretty fair indication that the race is likely to remain deadlocked for a relatively long time, at least until an agreement is reached on what to do about the whiney states of Florida and Michigan. Even that would not guarantee that the race would break decisively one way or another in terms of pledged delegates for either Clinton or Obama.

All of which takes us back to the super-delegates and the possibility of a fight at the Denver convention in late August should the campaigns and the DNC be unable to reach a resolution by then.

It’s promising to be a long, hot summer.

The American people need and deserve a functioning government to deal with pressing domestic issues, and Obama has proven ability to bring in not only Independent voters, but quite a few republicans and millions of Democrats.

Sen. Clinton represents the confrontation domestically and in foreign policy that has brought us to the sorry mess we're in now; a federal government paralyzed by bitter partisanship.

I think Ms. Clinton represents more of the same (as does Sen. McCain, but that's a whole other post)

Having said that… whether the nominee is Clinton or Obama, the most important thing is for the Democratic Party to lead a long-term agenda for building a stronger America and a stronger global community.

Support whichever candidate gets the nomination. Our country and our world could be at stake.

No comments: